Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.030211 0.032499 0.034792 0.037257 0.039830 0.042432 0.045261
2025-10-26 0.026452 0.030090 0.033857 0.038035 0.042524 0.047190 0.052391
2025-11-02 0.023865 0.028256 0.032912 0.038186 0.043964 0.050074 0.056997
2025-11-09 0.021739 0.026666 0.031998 0.038147 0.044993 0.052337 0.060766
2025-11-16 0.019949 0.025281 0.031159 0.038046 0.045824 0.054270 0.064070
2025-11-23 0.018335 0.023969 0.030292 0.037810 0.046411 0.055853 0.066915
2025-11-30 0.017006 0.022897 0.029616 0.037716 0.047090 0.057483 0.069763
2025-12-07 0.015538 0.021571 0.028569 0.037122 0.047136 0.058346 0.071703
2025-12-14 0.014151 0.020264 0.027477 0.036412 0.046992 0.058946 0.073302
2025-12-21 0.012861 0.019007 0.026384 0.035645 0.046732 0.059370 0.074663
2025-12-28 0.012453 0.018832 0.026582 0.036404 0.048253 0.061844 0.078374
2026-01-04 0.011772 0.018269 0.026273 0.036524 0.048995 0.063396 0.081010
2026-01-11 0.011002 0.017602 0.025862 0.036568 0.049718 0.065016 0.083844
2026-01-18 0.010617 0.017434 0.026082 0.037404 0.051420 0.067826 0.088120
2026-01-25 0.009970 0.016873 0.025768 0.037547 0.052256 0.069591 0.091155
2026-02-01 0.009299 0.016241 0.025332 0.037509 0.052849 0.071053 0.093821
2026-02-08 0.008655 0.015611 0.024867 0.037410 0.053347 0.072384 0.096321
2026-02-15 0.008008 0.014939 0.024319 0.037176 0.053657 0.073473 0.098522
2026-02-22 0.007460 0.014379 0.023894 0.037083 0.054125 0.074743 0.100930
2026-03-01 0.006779 0.013582 0.023115 0.036495 0.053947 0.075204 0.102351
2026-03-08 0.006111 0.012763 0.022271 0.035793 0.053597 0.075434 0.103475
2026-03-15 0.005477 0.011954 0.021408 0.035034 0.053149 0.075524 0.104410
2026-03-22 0.005339 0.011933 0.021662 0.035785 0.054652 0.078041 0.108320